New Delhi: The Asia-Pacific region is projected to see a growth increase from 3.8% in 2022 to 4.6% this year, according to the International Monetary Fund’s Regional Economic Outlook. This growth will be primarily driven by the buoyant outlook for China and India, with these two emerging market economies expected to contribute around half of global growth in 2023, while the rest of Asia and the Pacific will contribute an additional fifth. The IMF predicts that the region will contribute about 70% of global growth.
Despite the positive outlook for the region, the IMF warns that 2023 looks to be a challenging year for the global economy. The effects of monetary policy tightening through consistent interest rate hikes and Russia’s war in Ukraine are expected to weigh on economic activity. In addition, persistent inflationary pressures and recent financial sector problems in the US and Europe have added additional uncertainty to the economic landscape.
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Despite the positive outlook for the Asia-Pacific region, the IMF cautioned that policymakers in the region cannot afford to be complacent. Sound macroeconomic policies must be implemented, such as maintaining fiscal and monetary stability, ensuring financial sector resilience, and enhancing structural reforms to boost productivity and promote sustainable growth.
The growth in the Asia-Pacific region is getting a fresh impetus from China’s reopening of its economy after extended Covid-related restrictions. With the growth projected to increase in the Asia-Pacific region, the focus should be on maintaining this positive momentum by addressing the challenges posed by the complex economic landscape.
Policymakers must take proactive measures to ensure that the region remains dynamic and resilient to global economic challenges. By doing so, the Asia-Pacific region can play a crucial role in driving global economic growth and stability.